What is Telos Corp worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Telos Corp's reported free cash flow gives $5.73 per share. The share price was $7.67 on November 10, 2026, 34% above that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | -6.5% | 10.0% | $3.91 | -49% |
| Base | -1.5% | 9.0% | $5.73 | -25% |
| Bull | 3.5% | 8.0% | $9.37 | +22% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $7.01 | $7.39 | $7.85 | $8.44 | $9.18 |
| 8.0% | $6.07 | $6.31 | $6.60 | $6.95 | $7.38 |
| 9.0% | $5.37 | $5.54 | $5.73 | $5.96 | $6.23 |
| 10.0% | $4.84 | $4.96 | $5.10 | $5.25 | $5.43 |
| 11.0% | $4.42 | $4.51 | $4.61 | $4.72 | $4.84 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Telos Corp's revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (-1.7% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions