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Stocks TEX DCF valuation

DCF valuation

What is Terex Corp worth?

With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Terex Corp's reported free cash flow gives $100.27 per share. The share price was $57.05 on November 10, 2026, 43% below that value.

Inputs from the filings

Free cash flow, fiscal 2025
$322M
Average free cash flow, last 5 years
$245.5M
Cash
$407M
balance sheet of September 30, 2026
Debt
$2.55B
balance sheet of September 30, 2026
Diluted shares, fiscal 2025
66,300,000
Revenue growth per year, last 5 years
12.0%

Three sets of assumptions

CaseGrowth yrs 1-5Growth yrs 6-10After year 10Discount rateValue per shareValue vs price
Bear7.0%4.5%2.0%10.0%$49.89-13%
Base12.0%7.0%2.5%9.0%$100.27+76%
Bull17.0%10.0%3.0%8.0%$200.62+252%

Sensitivity: base case value per share

Discount rate down the side, growth after year 10 across the top. Everything else as in the base case.

1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%3.5%
7.0%$138.66$150.53$165.04$183.18$206.50
8.0%$109.89$117.59$126.69$137.61$150.95
9.0%$88.93$94.19$100.27$107.35$115.73
10.0%$73.00$76.75$80.99$85.84$91.43
11.0%$60.52$63.26$66.33$69.78$73.69

Where the presets come from

Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Terex Corp's revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (12.0% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.

Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.

Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.

This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.

Adjust the assumptions

Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.

Adjust the assumptions

Terex Corp company page