What is TE Connectivity plc worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on TE Connectivity plc's reported free cash flow gives $207.77 per share. The share price was $218.59 on September 25, 2026, 5% above that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | 2.0% | 10.0% | $122.23 | -44% |
| Base | 7.0% | 9.0% | $207.77 | -5% |
| Bull | 12.0% | 8.0% | $367.43 | +68% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $269.74 | $288.70 | $311.88 | $340.85 | $378.10 |
| 8.0% | $223.46 | $235.76 | $250.29 | $267.73 | $289.05 |
| 9.0% | $189.66 | $198.07 | $207.77 | $219.09 | $232.47 |
| 10.0% | $163.92 | $169.90 | $176.68 | $184.43 | $193.36 |
| 11.0% | $143.70 | $148.08 | $152.98 | $158.49 | $164.74 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at TE Connectivity plc's revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (7.2% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions