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DCF valuation

What is USA TODAY Co., Inc. worth?

With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on USA TODAY Co., Inc.'s reported free cash flow gives -$1.53 per share. The share price was $6.42 on September 25, 2026, 520% below that value.

Inputs from the filings

Free cash flow, fiscal 2025
$62.9M
Average free cash flow, last 5 years
$50.7M
Cash
$86.7M
balance sheet of June 30, 2026
Debt
$950.1M
balance sheet of June 30, 2026
Diluted shares, fiscal 2025
145,977,000
Revenue growth per year, last 5 years
-7.5%

Three sets of assumptions

CaseGrowth yrs 1-5Growth yrs 6-10After year 10Discount rateValue per shareValue vs price
Bear-10.0%-4.0%2.0%10.0%-$3.13-149%
Base-5.0%-1.0%2.5%9.0%-$1.53-124%
Bull0.0%1.5%3.0%8.0%$1.46-77%

Sensitivity: base case value per share

Discount rate down the side, growth after year 10 across the top. Everything else as in the base case.

1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%3.5%
7.0%-$0.46-$0.15$0.23$0.71$1.33
8.0%-$1.25-$1.05-$0.81-$0.52-$0.17
9.0%-$1.83-$1.69-$1.53-$1.34-$1.12
10.0%-$2.27-$2.18-$2.06-$1.94-$1.79
11.0%-$2.63-$2.55-$2.47-$2.38-$2.28

Where the presets come from

Base: years 1 to 5 grow at USA TODAY Co., Inc.'s revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (-7.5% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.

Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.

Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.

This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.

Adjust the assumptions

Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.

Adjust the assumptions

USA TODAY Co., Inc. company page