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What is Tactile Systems Technology Inc worth?

With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Tactile Systems Technology Inc's reported free cash flow gives $50.63 per share. The share price was $26.62 on November 10, 2026, 47% below that value.

Inputs from the filings

Free cash flow, fiscal 2025
$40.4M
Average free cash flow, last 5 years
$23.2M
Cash
$75.1M
balance sheet of September 30, 2026
Debt
$0
balance sheet of September 30, 2026
Diluted shares, fiscal 2025
23,295,328
Revenue growth per year, last 5 years
12.0%

Three sets of assumptions

CaseGrowth yrs 1-5Growth yrs 6-10After year 10Discount rateValue per shareValue vs price
Bear7.0%4.5%2.0%10.0%$32.63+23%
Base12.0%7.0%2.5%9.0%$50.63+90%
Bull17.0%10.0%3.0%8.0%$86.49+225%

Sensitivity: base case value per share

Discount rate down the side, growth after year 10 across the top. Everything else as in the base case.

1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%3.5%
7.0%$64.35$68.59$73.78$80.26$88.59
8.0%$54.07$56.82$60.07$63.97$68.74
9.0%$46.58$48.46$50.63$53.16$56.15
10.0%$40.88$42.22$43.74$45.47$47.47
11.0%$36.42$37.40$38.50$39.73$41.13

Where the presets come from

Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Tactile Systems Technology Inc's revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (12.0% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.

Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.

Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.

This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.

Adjust the assumptions

Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.

Adjust the assumptions

Tactile Systems Technology Inc company page