What is Molson Coors Beverage Co worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Molson Coors Beverage Co's reported free cash flow gives $54.86 per share. The share price was $35.95 on September 25, 2026, 34% below that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | -3.0% | 10.0% | $23.55 | -34% |
| Base | 2.0% | 9.0% | $54.86 | +53% |
| Bull | 7.0% | 8.0% | $113.33 | +215% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $76.83 | $83.45 | $91.55 | $101.67 | $114.69 |
| 8.0% | $60.50 | $64.80 | $69.87 | $75.97 | $83.41 |
| 9.0% | $48.54 | $51.47 | $54.86 | $58.82 | $63.49 |
| 10.0% | $39.40 | $41.49 | $43.86 | $46.56 | $49.68 |
| 11.0% | $32.19 | $33.73 | $35.44 | $37.36 | $39.55 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Molson Coors Beverage Co's revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (2.2% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions