What is Sysco Corp worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Sysco Corp's reported free cash flow gives $79.63 per share. The share price was $77.74 on November 10, 2026, 2% below that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | 5.5% | 10.0% | $41.05 | -47% |
| Base | 10.5% | 9.0% | $79.63 | +2% |
| Bull | 15.5% | 8.0% | $156.52 | +101% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $108.81 | $117.81 | $128.81 | $142.56 | $160.24 |
| 8.0% | $86.96 | $92.80 | $99.70 | $107.98 | $118.09 |
| 9.0% | $71.03 | $75.02 | $79.63 | $85.00 | $91.35 |
| 10.0% | $58.92 | $61.76 | $64.98 | $68.65 | $72.89 |
| 11.0% | $49.42 | $51.50 | $53.83 | $56.44 | $59.41 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Sysco Corp's revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (10.5% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions