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Stocks SYBT DCF valuation

DCF valuation

What is Stock Yards Bancorp, Inc. worth?

With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Stock Yards Bancorp, Inc.'s reported free cash flow gives $67.98 per share. The share price was $78.57 on September 25, 2026, 16% above that value.

Inputs from the filings

Free cash flow, fiscal 2025
$154M
Average free cash flow, last 5 years
$114.8M
Cash
$0
balance sheet of June 30, 2026
Debt
$26.8M
balance sheet of June 30, 2026
Diluted shares, fiscal 2025
29,507,000
Revenue growth per year, last 4 years
-0.4%

Three sets of assumptions

CaseGrowth yrs 1-5Growth yrs 6-10After year 10Discount rateValue per shareValue vs price
Bear-5.5%-2.0%2.0%10.0%$42.25-46%
Base-0.5%1.0%2.5%9.0%$67.98-13%
Bull4.5%4.0%3.0%8.0%$118.06+50%

Sensitivity: base case value per share

Discount rate down the side, growth after year 10 across the top. Everything else as in the base case.

1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%3.5%
7.0%$85.69$90.98$97.44$105.53$115.92
8.0%$72.56$75.99$80.05$84.91$90.86
9.0%$62.93$65.27$67.98$71.14$74.87
10.0%$55.55$57.22$59.11$61.27$63.76
11.0%$49.72$50.95$52.31$53.85$55.59

Where the presets come from

Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Stock Yards Bancorp, Inc.'s revenue growth rate over the last 4 fiscal years (-0.4% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.

Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.

Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.

This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.

Adjust the assumptions

Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.

Adjust the assumptions

Stock Yards Bancorp, Inc. company page