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DCF valuation

What is SunCoke Energy, Inc. worth?

With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on SunCoke Energy, Inc.'s reported free cash flow gives $3.53 per share. The share price was $10.66 on November 10, 2026, 202% above that value.

Inputs from the filings

Free cash flow, fiscal 2025
$42.3M
Average free cash flow, last 5 years
$109.2M
Cash
$57.6M
balance sheet of September 30, 2026
Debt
$600.8M
balance sheet of September 30, 2026
Diluted shares, fiscal 2025
85,500,000
Revenue growth per year, last 5 years
6.6%

Three sets of assumptions

CaseGrowth yrs 1-5Growth yrs 6-10After year 10Discount rateValue per shareValue vs price
Bear1.5%2.0%2.0%10.0%-$0.18-102%
Base6.5%4.5%2.5%9.0%$3.53-67%
Bull11.5%7.5%3.0%8.0%$10.91+2%

Sensitivity: base case value per share

Discount rate down the side, growth after year 10 across the top. Everything else as in the base case.

1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%3.5%
7.0%$6.26$7.10$8.12$9.40$11.04
8.0%$4.22$4.76$5.40$6.17$7.11
9.0%$2.73$3.10$3.53$4.03$4.61
10.0%$1.59$1.86$2.15$2.50$2.89
11.0%$0.70$0.89$1.11$1.35$1.63

Where the presets come from

Base: years 1 to 5 grow at SunCoke Energy, Inc.'s revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (6.6% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.

Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.

Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.

This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.

Adjust the assumptions

Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.

Adjust the assumptions

SunCoke Energy, Inc. company page