What is Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Stanley Black & Decker, Inc.'s reported free cash flow gives $48.35 per share. The share price was $91.40 on September 25, 2026, 89% above that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | -1.5% | 10.0% | $20.22 | -78% |
| Base | 3.5% | 9.0% | $48.35 | -47% |
| Bull | 8.5% | 8.0% | $104.42 | +14% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $68.73 | $74.89 | $82.43 | $91.85 | $103.97 |
| 8.0% | $53.56 | $57.56 | $62.29 | $67.96 | $74.89 |
| 9.0% | $42.46 | $45.20 | $48.35 | $52.03 | $56.38 |
| 10.0% | $33.99 | $35.93 | $38.14 | $40.66 | $43.56 |
| 11.0% | $27.31 | $28.74 | $30.33 | $32.12 | $34.16 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Stanley Black & Decker, Inc.'s revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (3.5% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions