What is Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Stanley Black & Decker, Inc.'s reported free cash flow gives $49.68 per share. The share price was $116.44 on November 10, 2026, 134% above that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | -1.5% | 10.0% | $21.55 | -81% |
| Base | 3.5% | 9.0% | $49.68 | -57% |
| Bull | 8.5% | 8.0% | $105.75 | -9% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $70.06 | $76.22 | $83.76 | $93.18 | $105.30 |
| 8.0% | $54.89 | $58.89 | $63.62 | $69.29 | $76.22 |
| 9.0% | $43.79 | $46.53 | $49.68 | $53.36 | $57.71 |
| 10.0% | $35.32 | $37.26 | $39.47 | $41.99 | $44.89 |
| 11.0% | $28.64 | $30.07 | $31.66 | $33.45 | $35.49 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Stanley Black & Decker, Inc.'s revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (3.5% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions