What is Savers Value Village, Inc. worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Savers Value Village, Inc.'s reported free cash flow gives $2.81 per share. The share price was $9.34 on September 25, 2026, 232% above that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | 3.5% | 10.0% | $0.28 | -97% |
| Base | 8.5% | 9.0% | $2.81 | -70% |
| Bull | 13.5% | 8.0% | $7.86 | -16% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $4.70 | $5.29 | $6.00 | $6.88 | $8.02 |
| 8.0% | $3.29 | $3.67 | $4.11 | $4.65 | $5.30 |
| 9.0% | $2.26 | $2.52 | $2.81 | $3.16 | $3.57 |
| 10.0% | $1.47 | $1.66 | $1.86 | $2.10 | $2.37 |
| 11.0% | $0.86 | $0.99 | $1.14 | $1.31 | $1.50 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Savers Value Village, Inc.'s revenue growth rate over the last 4 fiscal years (8.7% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions