What is SunocoCorp LLC worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on SunocoCorp LLC's reported free cash flow gives $211.77 per share. The share price was $76.32 on September 25, 2026, 64% below that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | -0.5% | 10.0% | $130.97 | +72% |
| Base | 4.5% | 9.0% | $211.77 | +177% |
| Bull | 9.5% | 8.0% | $369.12 | +384% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $269.32 | $286.80 | $308.16 | $334.85 | $369.18 |
| 8.0% | $226.45 | $237.78 | $251.17 | $267.24 | $286.88 |
| 9.0% | $195.08 | $202.83 | $211.77 | $222.20 | $234.52 |
| 10.0% | $171.15 | $176.66 | $182.91 | $190.04 | $198.28 |
| 11.0% | $152.32 | $156.35 | $160.87 | $165.95 | $171.70 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at SunocoCorp LLC's revenue growth rate over the last 2 fiscal years (4.5% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions