What is SunocoCorp LLC worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on SunocoCorp LLC's reported free cash flow gives $211.75 per share. The share price was $63.00 on November 10, 2026, 70% below that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | -0.5% | 10.0% | $130.95 | +108% |
| Base | 4.5% | 9.0% | $211.75 | +236% |
| Bull | 9.5% | 8.0% | $369.10 | +486% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $269.31 | $286.78 | $308.14 | $334.83 | $369.16 |
| 8.0% | $226.43 | $237.76 | $251.15 | $267.22 | $286.86 |
| 9.0% | $195.06 | $202.81 | $211.75 | $222.18 | $234.50 |
| 10.0% | $171.13 | $176.64 | $182.89 | $190.03 | $198.26 |
| 11.0% | $152.30 | $156.34 | $160.85 | $165.93 | $171.68 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at SunocoCorp LLC's revenue growth rate over the last 2 fiscal years (4.5% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions