What is Seagate Technology Holdings plc worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Seagate Technology Holdings plc's reported free cash flow gives $205.69 per share. The share price was $916.83 on September 25, 2026, 346% above that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | -2.5% | 10.0% | $124.77 | -86% |
| Base | 2.5% | 9.0% | $205.69 | -78% |
| Bull | 7.5% | 8.0% | $363.26 | -60% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $262.57 | $279.74 | $300.72 | $326.94 | $360.66 |
| 8.0% | $220.28 | $231.41 | $244.56 | $260.35 | $279.64 |
| 9.0% | $189.29 | $196.91 | $205.69 | $215.93 | $228.04 |
| 10.0% | $165.63 | $171.04 | $177.18 | $184.19 | $192.28 |
| 11.0% | $146.98 | $150.94 | $155.38 | $160.37 | $166.02 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Seagate Technology Holdings plc's revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (2.7% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions