What is Starwood Property Trust, Inc. worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Starwood Property Trust, Inc.'s reported free cash flow gives $8.14 per share. The share price was $11.95 on November 10, 2026, 47% above that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | 5.0% | 10.0% | $5.41 | -55% |
| Base | 10.0% | 9.0% | $8.14 | -32% |
| Bull | 15.0% | 8.0% | $13.22 | +11% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $10.15 | $10.77 | $11.52 | $12.47 | $13.69 |
| 8.0% | $8.64 | $9.04 | $9.52 | $10.09 | $10.79 |
| 9.0% | $7.55 | $7.82 | $8.14 | $8.51 | $8.94 |
| 10.0% | $6.71 | $6.91 | $7.13 | $7.38 | $7.67 |
| 11.0% | $6.06 | $6.20 | $6.36 | $6.54 | $6.75 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Starwood Property Trust, Inc.'s revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (10.2% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions