What is Strattec Security Corp worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Strattec Security Corp's reported free cash flow gives $185.31 per share. The share price was $61.02 on November 10, 2026, 67% below that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | -1.5% | 10.0% | $126.59 | +107% |
| Base | 3.5% | 9.0% | $185.31 | +204% |
| Bull | 8.5% | 8.0% | $302.36 | +396% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $227.85 | $240.72 | $256.46 | $276.13 | $301.42 |
| 8.0% | $196.19 | $204.54 | $214.41 | $226.25 | $240.72 |
| 9.0% | $173.02 | $178.73 | $185.31 | $193.00 | $202.08 |
| 10.0% | $155.33 | $159.39 | $163.99 | $169.25 | $175.32 |
| 11.0% | $141.39 | $144.37 | $147.69 | $151.44 | $155.68 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Strattec Security Corp's revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (3.6% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions