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Stocks STEP DCF valuation

DCF valuation

What is StepStone Group Inc. worth?

With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on StepStone Group Inc.'s reported free cash flow gives $36.85 per share. The share price was $49.18 on November 10, 2026, 33% above that value.

Inputs from the filings

Free cash flow, fiscal 2026
$63.9M
Average free cash flow, last 5 years
$124.7M
Cash
$802.5M
balance sheet of September 30, 2026
Debt
$0
not reported, counted as 0
Diluted shares, fiscal 2026
79,039,229
Revenue growth per year, last 5 years
34.9%

Three sets of assumptions

CaseGrowth yrs 1-5Growth yrs 6-10After year 10Discount rateValue per shareValue vs price
Bear10.0%6.0%2.0%10.0%$26.37-46%
Base15.0%9.0%2.5%9.0%$36.85-25%
Bull20.0%11.5%3.0%8.0%$56.35+15%

Sensitivity: base case value per share

Discount rate down the side, growth after year 10 across the top. Everything else as in the base case.

1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%3.5%
7.0%$44.78$47.25$50.27$54.05$58.91
8.0%$38.82$40.43$42.32$44.59$47.37
9.0%$34.49$35.58$36.85$38.32$40.07
10.0%$31.20$31.98$32.86$33.87$35.04
11.0%$28.63$29.20$29.84$30.56$31.37

Where the presets come from

Base: years 1 to 5 grow at StepStone Group Inc.'s revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (34.9% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.

Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.

Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.

This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.

Adjust the assumptions

Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.

Adjust the assumptions

StepStone Group Inc. company page