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DCF valuation

What is Sprout Social, Inc. worth?

With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Sprout Social, Inc.'s reported free cash flow gives $23.93 per share. The share price was $11.14 on November 10, 2026, 53% below that value.

Inputs from the filings

Free cash flow, fiscal 2025
$39.3M
Average free cash flow, last 5 years
$18M
Cash
$103.7M
balance sheet of September 30, 2026
Debt
$0
not reported, counted as 0
Diluted shares, fiscal 2025
58,625,925
Revenue growth per year, last 5 years
28.0%

Three sets of assumptions

CaseGrowth yrs 1-5Growth yrs 6-10After year 10Discount rateValue per shareValue vs price
Bear10.0%6.0%2.0%10.0%$15.23+37%
Base15.0%9.0%2.5%9.0%$23.93+115%
Bull20.0%11.5%3.0%8.0%$40.12+260%

Sensitivity: base case value per share

Discount rate down the side, growth after year 10 across the top. Everything else as in the base case.

1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%3.5%
7.0%$30.51$32.57$35.07$38.21$42.24
8.0%$25.57$26.90$28.47$30.36$32.67
9.0%$21.97$22.88$23.93$25.15$26.60
10.0%$19.24$19.89$20.62$21.46$22.43
11.0%$17.11$17.58$18.11$18.71$19.38

Where the presets come from

Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Sprout Social, Inc.'s revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (28.0% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.

Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.

Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.

This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.

Adjust the assumptions

Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.

Adjust the assumptions

Sprout Social, Inc. company page