What is Sonoco Products Co worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Sonoco Products Co's reported free cash flow gives $39.24 per share. The share price was $50.06 on September 25, 2026, 28% above that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | 2.0% | 10.0% | $11.51 | -77% |
| Base | 7.0% | 9.0% | $39.24 | -22% |
| Bull | 12.0% | 8.0% | $90.99 | +82% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $59.32 | $65.47 | $72.98 | $82.38 | $94.45 |
| 8.0% | $44.32 | $48.31 | $53.02 | $58.67 | $65.58 |
| 9.0% | $33.37 | $36.09 | $39.24 | $42.91 | $47.24 |
| 10.0% | $25.02 | $26.96 | $29.16 | $31.67 | $34.57 |
| 11.0% | $18.47 | $19.89 | $21.48 | $23.26 | $25.29 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Sonoco Products Co's revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (7.0% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions