What is StoneX Group Inc. worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on StoneX Group Inc.'s reported free cash flow gives $2,893.19 per share. The share price was $66.81 on September 25, 2026, 98% below that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | 10.0% | 10.0% | $1,775.08 | +2,557% |
| Base | 15.0% | 9.0% | $2,893.19 | +4,230% |
| Bull | 20.0% | 8.0% | $4,975.16 | +7,347% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $3,739.73 | $4,003.69 | $4,326.30 | $4,729.57 | $5,248.05 |
| 8.0% | $3,103.80 | $3,274.98 | $3,477.28 | $3,720.03 | $4,016.73 |
| 9.0% | $2,641.12 | $2,758.15 | $2,893.19 | $3,050.74 | $3,236.94 |
| 10.0% | $2,290.28 | $2,373.50 | $2,467.83 | $2,575.63 | $2,700.02 |
| 11.0% | $2,015.76 | $2,076.77 | $2,144.97 | $2,221.69 | $2,308.64 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at StoneX Group Inc.'s revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (19.6% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions