What is SharkNinja, Inc. worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on SharkNinja, Inc.'s reported free cash flow gives $109.77 per share. The share price was $177.74 on September 25, 2026, 62% above that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | 9.5% | 10.0% | $68.00 | -62% |
| Base | 14.5% | 9.0% | $109.77 | -38% |
| Bull | 19.5% | 8.0% | $192.97 | +9% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $142.07 | $152.12 | $164.41 | $179.77 | $199.51 |
| 8.0% | $117.82 | $124.34 | $132.05 | $141.29 | $152.59 |
| 9.0% | $100.17 | $104.63 | $109.77 | $115.77 | $122.86 |
| 10.0% | $86.78 | $89.95 | $93.55 | $97.65 | $102.39 |
| 11.0% | $76.30 | $78.63 | $81.22 | $84.15 | $87.46 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at SharkNinja, Inc.'s revenue growth rate over the last 4 fiscal years (14.5% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions