What is Stabilis Solutions, Inc. worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Stabilis Solutions, Inc.'s reported free cash flow gives $0.87 per share. The share price was $5.25 on September 25, 2026, 503% above that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | 5.5% | 10.0% | $0.63 | -88% |
| Base | 10.5% | 9.0% | $0.87 | -83% |
| Bull | 15.5% | 8.0% | $1.34 | -74% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $1.05 | $1.11 | $1.17 | $1.26 | $1.37 |
| 8.0% | $0.92 | $0.95 | $0.99 | $1.05 | $1.11 |
| 9.0% | $0.82 | $0.84 | $0.87 | $0.90 | $0.94 |
| 10.0% | $0.74 | $0.76 | $0.78 | $0.80 | $0.83 |
| 11.0% | $0.68 | $0.70 | $0.71 | $0.73 | $0.75 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Stabilis Solutions, Inc.'s revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (10.4% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions