What is Silgan Holdings Inc worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Silgan Holdings Inc's reported free cash flow gives $32.56 per share. The share price was $35.91 on September 25, 2026, 10% above that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | 0.5% | 10.0% | $4.70 | -87% |
| Base | 5.5% | 9.0% | $32.56 | -9% |
| Bull | 10.5% | 8.0% | $88.11 | +145% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $53.01 | $59.24 | $66.84 | $76.36 | $88.59 |
| 8.0% | $37.76 | $41.80 | $46.57 | $52.30 | $59.30 |
| 9.0% | $26.62 | $29.38 | $32.56 | $36.28 | $40.67 |
| 10.0% | $18.12 | $20.08 | $22.31 | $24.85 | $27.78 |
| 11.0% | $11.43 | $12.87 | $14.48 | $16.29 | $18.34 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Silgan Holdings Inc's revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (5.7% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions