What is SITIME Corp worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on SITIME Corp's reported free cash flow gives $59.47 per share. The share price was $444.45 on November 10, 2026, 647% above that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | 10.0% | 10.0% | $41.23 | -91% |
| Base | 15.0% | 9.0% | $59.47 | -87% |
| Bull | 20.0% | 8.0% | $93.44 | -79% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $73.28 | $77.59 | $82.85 | $89.43 | $97.89 |
| 8.0% | $62.91 | $65.70 | $69.00 | $72.96 | $77.80 |
| 9.0% | $55.36 | $57.27 | $59.47 | $62.04 | $65.08 |
| 10.0% | $49.64 | $51.00 | $52.54 | $54.29 | $56.32 |
| 11.0% | $45.16 | $46.16 | $47.27 | $48.52 | $49.94 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at SITIME Corp's revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (23.0% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions