What is SiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc. worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on SiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc.'s reported free cash flow gives $137.88 per share. The share price was $117.44 on November 9, 2026, 15% below that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | 6.5% | 10.0% | $82.24 | -30% |
| Base | 11.5% | 9.0% | $137.88 | +17% |
| Bull | 16.5% | 8.0% | $248.75 | +112% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $180.20 | $193.29 | $209.28 | $229.28 | $254.98 |
| 8.0% | $148.49 | $156.98 | $167.01 | $179.04 | $193.75 |
| 9.0% | $125.38 | $131.18 | $137.88 | $145.69 | $154.92 |
| 10.0% | $107.82 | $111.95 | $116.62 | $121.97 | $128.13 |
| 11.0% | $94.06 | $97.08 | $100.46 | $104.26 | $108.57 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at SiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc.'s revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (11.7% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions