What is Siga Technologies Inc worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Siga Technologies Inc's reported free cash flow gives $7.72 per share. The share price was $3.13 on November 10, 2026, 59% below that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | -10.0% | 10.0% | $5.49 | +76% |
| Base | -5.0% | 9.0% | $7.72 | +147% |
| Bull | 0.0% | 8.0% | $11.88 | +280% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $9.21 | $9.65 | $10.18 | $10.85 | $11.70 |
| 8.0% | $8.11 | $8.40 | $8.73 | $9.13 | $9.62 |
| 9.0% | $7.31 | $7.50 | $7.72 | $7.99 | $8.29 |
| 10.0% | $6.69 | $6.83 | $6.98 | $7.16 | $7.37 |
| 11.0% | $6.20 | $6.30 | $6.41 | $6.54 | $6.68 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Siga Technologies Inc's revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (-5.4% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions