What is Sotera Health Co worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Sotera Health Co's reported free cash flow gives $5.92 per share. The share price was $18.34 on September 25, 2026, 210% above that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | 4.0% | 10.0% | $1.22 | -93% |
| Base | 9.0% | 9.0% | $5.92 | -68% |
| Bull | 14.0% | 8.0% | $14.70 | -20% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $9.37 | $10.43 | $11.72 | $13.35 | $15.43 |
| 8.0% | $6.79 | $7.48 | $8.29 | $9.27 | $10.46 |
| 9.0% | $4.91 | $5.38 | $5.92 | $6.55 | $7.30 |
| 10.0% | $3.48 | $3.81 | $4.19 | $4.62 | $5.12 |
| 11.0% | $2.35 | $2.60 | $2.87 | $3.18 | $3.53 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Sotera Health Co's revenue growth rate over the last 4 fiscal years (9.2% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions