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DCF valuation

What is Shore Bancshares Inc worth?

With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Shore Bancshares Inc's reported free cash flow gives $69.52 per share. The share price was $22.89 on November 9, 2026, 67% below that value.

Inputs from the filings

Free cash flow, fiscal 2025
$59.2M
Average free cash flow, last 5 years
$31.4M
Cash
$455.1M
balance sheet of September 30, 2026
Debt
$89.3M
balance sheet of September 30, 2026
Diluted shares, fiscal 2025
33,407,155
Revenue growth per year, last 5 years
17.8%

Three sets of assumptions

CaseGrowth yrs 1-5Growth yrs 6-10After year 10Discount rateValue per shareValue vs price
Bear10.0%6.0%2.0%10.0%$46.54+103%
Base15.0%9.0%2.5%9.0%$69.52+204%
Bull20.0%11.5%3.0%8.0%$112.31+391%

Sensitivity: base case value per share

Discount rate down the side, growth after year 10 across the top. Everything else as in the base case.

1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%3.5%
7.0%$86.92$92.35$98.98$107.27$117.92
8.0%$73.85$77.37$81.53$86.52$92.61
9.0%$64.34$66.74$69.52$72.76$76.58
10.0%$57.13$58.84$60.78$62.99$65.55
11.0%$51.48$52.74$54.14$55.72$57.50

Where the presets come from

Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Shore Bancshares Inc's revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (17.8% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.

Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.

Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.

This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.

Adjust the assumptions

Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.

Adjust the assumptions

Shore Bancshares Inc company page