What is Somnigroup International Inc. worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Somnigroup International Inc.'s reported free cash flow gives $77.20 per share. The share price was $63.12 on November 10, 2026, 18% below that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | 10.0% | 10.0% | $37.96 | -40% |
| Base | 15.0% | 9.0% | $77.20 | +22% |
| Bull | 20.0% | 8.0% | $150.27 | +138% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $106.91 | $116.18 | $127.50 | $141.65 | $159.85 |
| 8.0% | $84.60 | $90.60 | $97.70 | $106.22 | $116.64 |
| 9.0% | $68.36 | $72.46 | $77.20 | $82.73 | $89.27 |
| 10.0% | $56.04 | $58.96 | $62.28 | $66.06 | $70.42 |
| 11.0% | $46.41 | $48.55 | $50.94 | $53.64 | $56.69 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Somnigroup International Inc.'s revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (15.3% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions