What is Scansource, Inc. worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Scansource, Inc.'s reported free cash flow gives $72.91 per share. The share price was $58.30 on September 25, 2026, 20% below that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | -4.5% | 10.0% | $45.32 | -22% |
| Base | 0.5% | 9.0% | $72.91 | +25% |
| Bull | 5.5% | 8.0% | $126.60 | +117% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $92.03 | $97.76 | $104.77 | $113.52 | $124.79 |
| 8.0% | $77.84 | $81.56 | $85.95 | $91.22 | $97.67 |
| 9.0% | $67.43 | $69.97 | $72.91 | $76.33 | $80.37 |
| 10.0% | $59.47 | $61.28 | $63.33 | $65.67 | $68.37 |
| 11.0% | $53.19 | $54.51 | $55.99 | $57.66 | $59.55 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Scansource, Inc.'s revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (0.5% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions