What is Service Corp International worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Service Corp International's reported free cash flow gives $29.94 per share. The share price was $74.09 on November 10, 2026, 147% above that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | -1.5% | 10.0% | $5.82 | -92% |
| Base | 3.5% | 9.0% | $29.94 | -60% |
| Bull | 8.5% | 8.0% | $78.03 | +5% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $47.42 | $52.71 | $59.17 | $67.25 | $77.64 |
| 8.0% | $34.41 | $37.84 | $41.90 | $46.76 | $52.71 |
| 9.0% | $24.89 | $27.24 | $29.94 | $33.10 | $36.83 |
| 10.0% | $17.63 | $19.29 | $21.18 | $23.34 | $25.84 |
| 11.0% | $11.90 | $13.12 | $14.49 | $16.03 | $17.77 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Service Corp International's revenue growth rate over the last 6 fiscal years (3.5% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions