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DCF valuation

What is Schwab Charles Corp worth?

With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Schwab Charles Corp's reported free cash flow gives $169.95 per share. The share price was $99.03 on September 25, 2026, 42% below that value.

Inputs from the filings

Free cash flow, fiscal 2025
$8.76B
Average free cash flow, last 5 years
$6.4B
Cash
$40.58B
balance sheet of June 30, 2026
Debt
$22.67B
balance sheet of June 30, 2026
Diluted shares, fiscal 2025
1,809,000,000
Revenue growth per year, last 5 years
15.4%

Three sets of assumptions

CaseGrowth yrs 1-5Growth yrs 6-10After year 10Discount rateValue per shareValue vs price
Bear10.0%6.0%2.0%10.0%$107.15+8%
Base15.0%9.0%2.5%9.0%$169.95+72%
Bull20.0%11.5%3.0%8.0%$286.89+190%

Sensitivity: base case value per share

Discount rate down the side, growth after year 10 across the top. Everything else as in the base case.

1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%3.5%
7.0%$217.50$232.32$250.44$273.09$302.21
8.0%$181.78$191.39$202.75$216.39$233.05
9.0%$155.79$162.36$169.95$178.80$189.25
10.0%$136.08$140.76$146.06$152.11$159.10
11.0%$120.66$124.09$127.92$132.23$137.11

Where the presets come from

Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Schwab Charles Corp's revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (15.4% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.

Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.

Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.

This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.

Adjust the assumptions

Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.

Adjust the assumptions

Schwab Charles Corp company page