What is Sinclair, Inc. worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Sinclair, Inc.'s reported free cash flow gives -$32.72 per share. The share price was $12.78 on September 25, 2026, 139% below that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | -10.0% | 10.0% | -$38.91 | -404% |
| Base | -5.0% | 9.0% | -$32.72 | -356% |
| Bull | 0.0% | 8.0% | -$21.19 | -266% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | -$28.61 | -$27.40 | -$25.92 | -$24.07 | -$21.69 |
| 8.0% | -$31.64 | -$30.86 | -$29.93 | -$28.82 | -$27.46 |
| 9.0% | -$33.88 | -$33.34 | -$32.72 | -$32.00 | -$31.15 |
| 10.0% | -$35.60 | -$35.21 | -$34.78 | -$34.29 | -$33.72 |
| 11.0% | -$36.96 | -$36.68 | -$36.37 | -$36.01 | -$35.62 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Sinclair, Inc.'s revenue growth rate over the last 4 fiscal years (-15.2% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions