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DCF valuation

What is SBC Medical Group Holdings Inc worth?

With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on SBC Medical Group Holdings Inc's reported free cash flow gives $3.72 per share. The share price was $4.90 on September 25, 2026, 32% above that value.

Inputs from the filings

Free cash flow, fiscal 2025
$23.3M
Average free cash flow, last 3 years
$27.8M
Cash
$184.3M
balance sheet of June 30, 2026
Debt
$37.8M
balance sheet of June 30, 2026
Diluted shares, fiscal 2025
102,997,967
Revenue growth per year, last 2 years
-5.3%

Three sets of assumptions

CaseGrowth yrs 1-5Growth yrs 6-10After year 10Discount rateValue per shareValue vs price
Bear-10.0%-4.0%2.0%10.0%$2.88-41%
Base-5.0%-1.0%2.5%9.0%$3.72-24%
Bull0.0%1.5%3.0%8.0%$5.29+8%

Sensitivity: base case value per share

Discount rate down the side, growth after year 10 across the top. Everything else as in the base case.

1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%3.5%
7.0%$4.28$4.45$4.65$4.90$5.22
8.0%$3.87$3.97$4.10$4.25$4.44
9.0%$3.56$3.64$3.72$3.82$3.94
10.0%$3.33$3.38$3.44$3.51$3.59
11.0%$3.15$3.18$3.23$3.27$3.33

Where the presets come from

Base: years 1 to 5 grow at SBC Medical Group Holdings Inc's revenue growth rate over the last 2 fiscal years (-5.3% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.

Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.

Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.

This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.

Adjust the assumptions

Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.

Adjust the assumptions

SBC Medical Group Holdings Inc company page