What is StandardAero, Inc. worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on StandardAero, Inc.'s reported free cash flow gives $14.24 per share. The share price was $28.49 on November 10, 2026, 100% above that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | 8.5% | 10.0% | $6.21 | -78% |
| Base | 13.5% | 9.0% | $14.24 | -50% |
| Bull | 18.5% | 8.0% | $30.23 | +6% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $20.41 | $22.33 | $24.68 | $27.61 | $31.37 |
| 8.0% | $15.78 | $17.02 | $18.49 | $20.26 | $22.41 |
| 9.0% | $12.41 | $13.26 | $14.24 | $15.38 | $16.73 |
| 10.0% | $9.84 | $10.45 | $11.13 | $11.92 | $12.82 |
| 11.0% | $7.84 | $8.28 | $8.78 | $9.33 | $9.97 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at StandardAero, Inc.'s revenue growth rate over the last 3 fiscal years (13.5% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions