What is Sonic Automotive Inc worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Sonic Automotive Inc's reported free cash flow gives $431.89 per share. The share price was $62.22 on November 10, 2026, 86% below that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | 4.0% | 10.0% | $245.21 | +294% |
| Base | 9.0% | 9.0% | $431.89 | +594% |
| Bull | 14.0% | 8.0% | $780.18 | +1,154% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $568.73 | $610.82 | $662.27 | $726.58 | $809.26 |
| 8.0% | $466.37 | $493.67 | $525.93 | $564.64 | $611.96 |
| 9.0% | $391.69 | $410.35 | $431.89 | $457.01 | $486.71 |
| 10.0% | $334.89 | $348.16 | $363.21 | $380.40 | $400.23 |
| 11.0% | $290.31 | $300.04 | $310.91 | $323.15 | $337.01 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Sonic Automotive Inc's revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (9.2% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions