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DCF valuation

What is Reservoir Media, Inc. worth?

With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Reservoir Media, Inc.'s reported free cash flow gives $18.20 per share. The share price was $10.30 on November 10, 2026, 43% below that value.

Inputs from the filings

Free cash flow, fiscal 2026
$49.7M
Average free cash flow, last 5 years
$34.8M
Cash
$24.8M
balance sheet of September 30, 2026
Debt
$458.6M
balance sheet of September 30, 2026
Diluted shares, fiscal 2026
66,307,433
Revenue growth per year, last 4 years
21.6%

Three sets of assumptions

CaseGrowth yrs 1-5Growth yrs 6-10After year 10Discount rateValue per shareValue vs price
Bear10.0%6.0%2.0%10.0%$8.49-18%
Base15.0%9.0%2.5%9.0%$18.20+77%
Bull20.0%11.5%3.0%8.0%$36.28+252%

Sensitivity: base case value per share

Discount rate down the side, growth after year 10 across the top. Everything else as in the base case.

1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%3.5%
7.0%$25.55$27.84$30.65$34.15$38.65
8.0%$20.03$21.52$23.27$25.38$27.96
9.0%$16.01$17.03$18.20$19.57$21.19
10.0%$12.97$13.69$14.51$15.44$16.52
11.0%$10.58$11.11$11.70$12.37$13.12

Where the presets come from

Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Reservoir Media, Inc.'s revenue growth rate over the last 4 fiscal years (21.6% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.

Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.

Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.

This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.

Adjust the assumptions

Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.

Adjust the assumptions

Reservoir Media, Inc. company page