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DCF valuation

What is Reliance, Inc. worth?

With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Reliance, Inc.'s reported free cash flow gives $207.64 per share. The share price was $387.28 on September 25, 2026, 87% above that value.

Inputs from the filings

Free cash flow, fiscal 2025
$502.5M
Average free cash flow, last 5 years
$1.01B
Cash
$249.7M
balance sheet of March 31, 2026
Debt
$1.69B
balance sheet of March 31, 2026
Diluted shares, fiscal 2025
52,875,000
Revenue growth per year, last 5 years
10.2%

Three sets of assumptions

CaseGrowth yrs 1-5Growth yrs 6-10After year 10Discount rateValue per shareValue vs price
Bear5.0%3.5%2.0%10.0%$116.41-70%
Base10.0%6.5%2.5%9.0%$207.64-46%
Bull15.0%9.0%3.0%8.0%$377.80-2%

Sensitivity: base case value per share

Discount rate down the side, growth after year 10 across the top. Everything else as in the base case.

1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%3.5%
7.0%$274.89$295.63$320.98$352.66$393.40
8.0%$224.55$237.99$253.89$272.96$296.27
9.0%$187.83$197.03$207.64$220.02$234.64
10.0%$159.92$166.46$173.87$182.34$192.12
11.0%$138.03$142.82$148.18$154.21$161.04

Where the presets come from

Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Reliance, Inc.'s revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (10.2% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.

Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.

Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.

This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.

Adjust the assumptions

Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.

Adjust the assumptions

Reliance, Inc. company page