What is Regal Rexnord Corp worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Regal Rexnord Corp's reported free cash flow gives $382.95 per share. The share price was $176.85 on November 10, 2026, 54% below that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | 10.0% | 10.0% | $209.10 | +18% |
| Base | 15.0% | 9.0% | $382.95 | +117% |
| Bull | 20.0% | 8.0% | $706.68 | +300% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $514.58 | $555.63 | $605.79 | $668.49 | $749.11 |
| 8.0% | $415.70 | $442.32 | $473.77 | $511.52 | $557.65 |
| 9.0% | $343.76 | $361.96 | $382.95 | $407.45 | $436.40 |
| 10.0% | $289.21 | $302.15 | $316.82 | $333.58 | $352.92 |
| 11.0% | $246.52 | $256.01 | $266.61 | $278.54 | $292.06 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Regal Rexnord Corp's revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (15.3% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions