What is Rollins Inc worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Rollins Inc's reported free cash flow gives $35.14 per share. The share price was $30.03 on September 25, 2026, 15% below that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | 6.5% | 10.0% | $21.50 | -28% |
| Base | 11.5% | 9.0% | $35.14 | +17% |
| Bull | 16.5% | 8.0% | $62.33 | +108% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $45.52 | $48.73 | $52.65 | $57.56 | $63.86 |
| 8.0% | $37.74 | $39.83 | $42.28 | $45.24 | $48.84 |
| 9.0% | $32.08 | $33.50 | $35.14 | $37.06 | $39.32 |
| 10.0% | $27.77 | $28.78 | $29.93 | $31.24 | $32.75 |
| 11.0% | $24.39 | $25.13 | $25.96 | $26.90 | $27.95 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Rollins Inc's revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (11.7% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions