What is Rambus Inc worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Rambus Inc's reported free cash flow gives $102.00 per share. The share price was $105.16 on September 25, 2026, 3% above that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | 10.0% | 10.0% | $62.46 | -41% |
| Base | 15.0% | 9.0% | $102.00 | -3% |
| Bull | 20.0% | 8.0% | $175.63 | +67% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $131.94 | $141.28 | $152.69 | $166.95 | $185.28 |
| 8.0% | $109.45 | $115.50 | $122.66 | $131.24 | $141.74 |
| 9.0% | $93.09 | $97.23 | $102.00 | $107.57 | $114.16 |
| 10.0% | $80.68 | $83.62 | $86.96 | $90.77 | $95.17 |
| 11.0% | $70.97 | $73.13 | $75.54 | $78.25 | $81.33 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Rambus Inc's revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (23.5% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions