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DCF valuation

What is Rci Hospitality Holdings, Inc. worth?

With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Rci Hospitality Holdings, Inc.'s reported free cash flow gives $106.21 per share. The share price was $27.56 on September 25, 2026, 74% below that value.

Inputs from the filings

Free cash flow, fiscal 2025
$34.9M
Average free cash flow, last 5 years
$30.8M
Cash
$26.4M
balance sheet of June 30, 2026
Debt
$242.1M
balance sheet of June 30, 2026
Diluted shares, fiscal 2025
8,822,758
Revenue growth per year, last 5 years
16.1%

Three sets of assumptions

CaseGrowth yrs 1-5Growth yrs 6-10After year 10Discount rateValue per shareValue vs price
Bear10.0%6.0%2.0%10.0%$54.94+99%
Base15.0%9.0%2.5%9.0%$106.21+285%
Bull20.0%11.5%3.0%8.0%$201.67+632%

Sensitivity: base case value per share

Discount rate down the side, growth after year 10 across the top. Everything else as in the base case.

1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%3.5%
7.0%$145.02$157.13$171.92$190.41$214.19
8.0%$115.86$123.71$132.99$144.12$157.73
9.0%$94.65$100.01$106.21$113.43$121.97
10.0%$78.56$82.38$86.70$91.64$97.35
11.0%$65.97$68.77$71.90$75.41$79.40

Where the presets come from

Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Rci Hospitality Holdings, Inc.'s revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (16.1% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.

Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.

Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.

This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.

Adjust the assumptions

Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.

Adjust the assumptions

Rci Hospitality Holdings, Inc. company page