What is Ryman Hospitality Properties, Inc. worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Ryman Hospitality Properties, Inc.'s reported free cash flow gives $61.78 per share. The share price was $121.46 on September 25, 2026, 97% above that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | 10.0% | 10.0% | $16.10 | -87% |
| Base | 15.0% | 9.0% | $61.78 | -49% |
| Bull | 20.0% | 8.0% | $146.84 | +21% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $96.36 | $107.15 | $120.33 | $136.80 | $157.99 |
| 8.0% | $70.38 | $77.38 | $85.64 | $95.56 | $107.68 |
| 9.0% | $51.48 | $56.26 | $61.78 | $68.22 | $75.82 |
| 10.0% | $37.15 | $40.55 | $44.40 | $48.81 | $53.89 |
| 11.0% | $25.93 | $28.43 | $31.21 | $34.35 | $37.90 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Ryman Hospitality Properties, Inc.'s revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (37.5% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions