What is Ryman Hospitality Properties, Inc. worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Ryman Hospitality Properties, Inc.'s reported free cash flow gives $51.05 per share. The share price was $138.53 on November 10, 2026, 171% above that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | 10.0% | 10.0% | $5.37 | -96% |
| Base | 15.0% | 9.0% | $51.05 | -63% |
| Bull | 20.0% | 8.0% | $136.11 | -2% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $85.63 | $96.42 | $109.60 | $126.07 | $147.25 |
| 8.0% | $59.65 | $66.65 | $74.91 | $84.83 | $96.95 |
| 9.0% | $40.75 | $45.53 | $51.05 | $57.49 | $65.09 |
| 10.0% | $26.42 | $29.82 | $33.67 | $38.07 | $43.16 |
| 11.0% | $15.20 | $17.69 | $20.48 | $23.61 | $27.17 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Ryman Hospitality Properties, Inc.'s revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (37.5% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions