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DCF valuation

What is Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc. worth?

With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc.'s reported free cash flow gives $19.57 per share. The share price was $37.95 on November 10, 2026, 94% above that value.

Inputs from the filings

Free cash flow, fiscal 2025
$208.7M
Average free cash flow, last 5 years
$159.4M
Cash
$423.6M
balance sheet of September 30, 2026
Debt
$2.77B
balance sheet of September 30, 2026
Diluted shares, fiscal 2025
232,550,968
Revenue growth per year, last 5 years
24.9%

Three sets of assumptions

CaseGrowth yrs 1-5Growth yrs 6-10After year 10Discount rateValue per shareValue vs price
Bear10.0%6.0%2.0%10.0%$7.93-79%
Base15.0%9.0%2.5%9.0%$19.57-48%
Bull20.0%11.5%3.0%8.0%$41.23+9%

Sensitivity: base case value per share

Discount rate down the side, growth after year 10 across the top. Everything else as in the base case.

1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%3.5%
7.0%$28.37$31.12$34.48$38.67$44.07
8.0%$21.76$23.54$25.64$28.17$31.26
9.0%$16.94$18.16$19.57$21.21$23.14
10.0%$13.29$14.16$15.14$16.26$17.56
11.0%$10.44$11.07$11.78$12.58$13.49

Where the presets come from

Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc.'s revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (24.9% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.

Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.

Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.

This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.

Adjust the assumptions

Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.

Adjust the assumptions

Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc. company page