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DCF valuation

What is Rocky Brands, Inc. worth?

With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Rocky Brands, Inc.'s reported free cash flow gives $19.44 per share. The share price was $53.54 on November 10, 2026, 175% above that value.

Inputs from the filings

Free cash flow, fiscal 2025
$9.7M
Average free cash flow, last 5 years
$12.8M
Cash
$2.3M
balance sheet of September 30, 2026
Debt
$116M
balance sheet of September 30, 2026
Diluted shares, fiscal 2025
7,530,000
Revenue growth per year, last 5 years
11.7%

Three sets of assumptions

CaseGrowth yrs 1-5Growth yrs 6-10After year 10Discount rateValue per shareValue vs price
Bear6.5%4.5%2.0%10.0%$6.32-88%
Base11.5%7.0%2.5%9.0%$19.44-64%
Bull16.5%10.0%3.0%8.0%$45.59-15%

Sensitivity: base case value per share

Discount rate down the side, growth after year 10 across the top. Everything else as in the base case.

1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%3.5%
7.0%$29.43$32.51$36.29$41.00$47.06
8.0%$21.95$23.95$26.31$29.15$32.62
9.0%$16.49$17.86$19.44$21.28$23.46
10.0%$12.35$13.33$14.43$15.69$17.14
11.0%$9.11$9.82$10.62$11.51$12.53

Where the presets come from

Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Rocky Brands, Inc.'s revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (11.7% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.

Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.

Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.

This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.

Adjust the assumptions

Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.

Adjust the assumptions

Rocky Brands, Inc. company page