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DCF valuation

What is Q2 Holdings, Inc. worth?

With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Q2 Holdings, Inc.'s reported free cash flow gives $96.93 per share. The share price was $75.33 on November 10, 2026, 22% below that value.

Inputs from the filings

Free cash flow, fiscal 2025
$194.7M
Average free cash flow, last 5 years
$85M
Cash
$116.3M
balance sheet of September 30, 2026
Debt
$0
not reported, counted as 0
Diluted shares, fiscal 2025
65,118,000
Revenue growth per year, last 5 years
14.6%

Three sets of assumptions

CaseGrowth yrs 1-5Growth yrs 6-10After year 10Discount rateValue per shareValue vs price
Bear9.5%6.0%2.0%10.0%$60.58-20%
Base14.5%8.5%2.5%9.0%$96.93+29%
Bull19.5%11.5%3.0%8.0%$169.33+125%

Sensitivity: base case value per share

Discount rate down the side, growth after year 10 across the top. Everything else as in the base case.

1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%3.5%
7.0%$125.04$133.79$144.48$157.85$175.03
8.0%$103.94$109.61$116.31$124.36$134.19
9.0%$88.58$92.45$96.93$102.15$108.32
10.0%$76.92$79.68$82.81$86.38$90.50
11.0%$67.80$69.82$72.09$74.63$77.51

Where the presets come from

Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Q2 Holdings, Inc.'s revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (14.6% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.

Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.

Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.

This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.

Adjust the assumptions

Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.

Adjust the assumptions

Q2 Holdings, Inc. company page