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Stocks QCRH DCF valuation

DCF valuation

What is Qcr Holdings Inc worth?

With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Qcr Holdings Inc's reported free cash flow gives $694.31 per share. The share price was $100.92 on September 25, 2026, 85% below that value.

Inputs from the filings

Free cash flow, fiscal 2025
$354.1M
Average free cash flow, last 5 years
$255M
Cash
$85.5M
balance sheet of December 31, 2018
Debt
$0
not reported, counted as 0
Diluted shares, fiscal 2025
16,973,671
Revenue growth per year, last 5 years
19.5%

Three sets of assumptions

CaseGrowth yrs 1-5Growth yrs 6-10After year 10Discount rateValue per shareValue vs price
Bear10.0%6.0%2.0%10.0%$423.84+320%
Base15.0%9.0%2.5%9.0%$694.31+588%
Bull20.0%11.5%3.0%8.0%$1,197.94+1,087%

Sensitivity: base case value per share

Discount rate down the side, growth after year 10 across the top. Everything else as in the base case.

1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%3.5%
7.0%$899.09$962.94$1,040.98$1,138.53$1,263.95
8.0%$745.26$786.66$835.60$894.32$966.09
9.0%$633.33$661.64$694.31$732.42$777.46
10.0%$548.47$568.60$591.42$617.49$647.58
11.0%$482.06$496.82$513.32$531.87$552.91

Where the presets come from

Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Qcr Holdings Inc's revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (19.5% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.

Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.

Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.

This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.

Adjust the assumptions

Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.

Adjust the assumptions

Qcr Holdings Inc company page