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DCF valuation

What is PubMatic, Inc. worth?

With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on PubMatic, Inc.'s reported free cash flow gives $49.45 per share. The share price was $17.11 on November 10, 2026, 65% below that value.

Inputs from the filings

Free cash flow, fiscal 2025
$66.7M
Average free cash flow, last 5 years
$60.5M
Cash
$120.3M
balance sheet of September 30, 2026
Debt
$0
not reported, counted as 0
Diluted shares, fiscal 2025
47,008,000
Revenue growth per year, last 4 years
17.4%

Three sets of assumptions

CaseGrowth yrs 1-5Growth yrs 6-10After year 10Discount rateValue per shareValue vs price
Bear10.0%6.0%2.0%10.0%$31.05+81%
Base15.0%9.0%2.5%9.0%$49.45+189%
Bull20.0%11.5%3.0%8.0%$83.71+389%

Sensitivity: base case value per share

Discount rate down the side, growth after year 10 across the top. Everything else as in the base case.

1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%3.5%
7.0%$63.38$67.72$73.03$79.67$88.20
8.0%$52.92$55.73$59.06$63.06$67.94
9.0%$45.30$47.23$49.45$52.04$55.11
10.0%$39.53$40.90$42.45$44.22$46.27
11.0%$35.01$36.01$37.14$38.40$39.83

Where the presets come from

Base: years 1 to 5 grow at PubMatic, Inc.'s revenue growth rate over the last 4 fiscal years (17.4% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.

Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.

Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.

This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.

Adjust the assumptions

Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.

Adjust the assumptions

PubMatic, Inc. company page