What is Pricesmart Inc worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Pricesmart Inc's reported free cash flow gives $82.67 per share. The share price was $174.73 on September 25, 2026, 111% above that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | 4.5% | 10.0% | $51.78 | -70% |
| Base | 9.5% | 9.0% | $82.67 | -53% |
| Bull | 14.5% | 8.0% | $144.26 | -17% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $105.91 | $113.06 | $121.80 | $132.72 | $146.77 |
| 8.0% | $88.53 | $93.16 | $98.64 | $105.22 | $113.26 |
| 9.0% | $75.84 | $79.01 | $82.67 | $86.94 | $91.98 |
| 10.0% | $66.20 | $68.45 | $71.01 | $73.93 | $77.30 |
| 11.0% | $58.63 | $60.28 | $62.13 | $64.21 | $66.56 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Pricesmart Inc's revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (9.6% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions