What is Pilgrims Pride Corp worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Pilgrims Pride Corp's reported free cash flow gives $67.79 per share. The share price was $28.45 on November 10, 2026, 58% below that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | 4.0% | 10.0% | $43.05 | +51% |
| Base | 9.0% | 9.0% | $67.79 | +138% |
| Bull | 14.0% | 8.0% | $113.94 | +301% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $85.92 | $91.50 | $98.32 | $106.84 | $117.80 |
| 8.0% | $72.36 | $75.98 | $80.25 | $85.38 | $91.65 |
| 9.0% | $62.46 | $64.94 | $67.79 | $71.12 | $75.05 |
| 10.0% | $54.94 | $56.70 | $58.69 | $60.97 | $63.60 |
| 11.0% | $49.03 | $50.32 | $51.76 | $53.38 | $55.22 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Pilgrims Pride Corp's revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (8.9% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions