What is Powell Industries Inc worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Powell Industries Inc's reported free cash flow gives $472.40 per share. The share price was $189.53 on September 25, 2026, 60% below that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | 10.0% | 10.0% | $307.46 | +62% |
| Base | 15.0% | 9.0% | $472.40 | +149% |
| Bull | 20.0% | 8.0% | $779.51 | +311% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $597.27 | $636.21 | $683.80 | $743.28 | $819.77 |
| 8.0% | $503.46 | $528.71 | $558.56 | $594.37 | $638.13 |
| 9.0% | $435.21 | $452.48 | $472.40 | $495.64 | $523.10 |
| 10.0% | $383.46 | $395.74 | $409.65 | $425.55 | $443.90 |
| 11.0% | $342.96 | $351.96 | $362.02 | $373.34 | $386.17 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Powell Industries Inc's revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (16.3% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions